About us

Numbers, not narratives

AURUM is a probability model and a discipline, not a tipster group. We publish our method and our record in the open — including the losses.

Why we exist

This industry's biggest gap is honesty

Most sports-content platforms only post the wins, and rarely say how many picks a win rate is based on. If you're going to make decisions on probability, the record behind it should hold up to scrutiny: every pick is published and its odds frozen before kickoff, then folded straight into the public record once settled — wins and losses alike.

AURUM is a quantitative research process: we price against multiple bookmakers, estimate true probability, and only publish when the expected value is positive. The model keeps improving, but a pick that's already been published is never edited after the fact.

Our principles

Five rules we don't bend

  • The record is computed live, never edited after the fact

    Every number in the record is computed directly from the database — there's no field for typing one in by hand. A settled pick can only be voided or recalculated against a corrected score, and is labelled "void" or "corrected" when that happens.

  • Sample size travels with every rate

    Every hit rate or ROI is shown next to the number of picks it's based on. A leaderboard entry with too few picks simply doesn't make the list, so a small sample never gets to look better than it is.

  • Losses stay published

    The public record includes every pick that was ever published to members, win or lose. The only picks excluded are internal paper-trading strategies that were never published to anyone.

  • Published before kickoff, odds frozen on the spot

    Picks are always published before kickoff, and the odds you see are exactly what they were at publish time — never backfilled with a better number later.

  • No betting referrals, 18+ only

    We carry no referral or affiliate links to offshore betting sites; bookmaker names appear only as the source of the odds data. This site is for users 18 and older — please play within your means.

See for yourself

Don't take our word for it — check the data

Every principle above shows up concretely on the public record page: the odds at release, the sample size, and every void or correction, for every settled pick.

View the public record

Understand it first, then decide

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