Quantitative sports research

Priced by probability.Proven on the record.

Our models weigh opening and live prices from multiple bookmakers against team-strength and schedule signals, and only issue a pick when the expected value is positive. Every pick goes live before kickoff with its odds frozen — wins and losses stay public.

  • Published pre-game
  • Odds frozen
  • Losses stay public
Matches analysed
6,101
Picks published
1,741
Leagues covered
17
Market tape

01Today's slate

Upcoming AI picks

Preview the fixtures and markets for free. Selections, lines, odds and stakes unlock with a plan.

02Public record

Every pick, open to audit

All picks settled in the last 30 days, grouped by kickoff. Pushes and voids never count toward hit rate, and every rate carries its sample size.

Open the full record

Cumulative units · Last 30 days

  • Cumulative units
  • Daily hit rate

Recently settled

03Strategy explorer

Find the strategy that fits

Each strategy is an explicit filter — value, model consensus, line movement, home edge and totals trend. Choose a sport, league, market and strategy type to see who led the last 30 days.

Sport

League

Market

Strategy type

Last 30 days · settled picks of public strategies · n ≥ 10 · ranked by ROI

    Compare on the record page

    04How it works

    Four gates between data and a pick

    No secret sauce — just a process you can inspect.

    1. Data

      Fixtures, scores and opening and live prices from multiple bookmakers are synced continuously. Nothing that is only known after kickoff ever reaches the model.

    2. Model

      Elo strength, recent form, home and away splits, head-to-head, rest days and scoring efficiency feed logistic-regression and Poisson models that estimate true probabilities.

    3. Price

      Model probabilities are blended with the de-vigged market consensus. Only prices with positive expected value that meet a strategy's rules become picks.

    4. Publish

      Picks go live before kickoff with the odds frozen, settle automatically after the final whistle, and join the public record for good.

    05Coverage

    Major leagues, one discipline

     

      06Membership

      Choose your cadence

      Choose a plan and your order is created in one tap — our official LINE opens with the plan, order number and amount already filled in. Your plan activates as soon as payment is confirmed, and renewals stack on your current end date.

      Compare all plans

      07Member notes

      How members use it

      08FAQ

      Good questions

      Still curious?

      When are picks published?

      The model scans fixtures over the next 36 hours. Prices that meet a strategy's rules go live before kickoff — usually between 36 hours and 30 minutes ahead. Members see them instantly on the picks page.

      How are hit rate and units calculated?

      Hit rate is wins ÷ (wins + losses); pushes and voids are excluded and half results count as halves. Units are each pick's stake multiplied by the odds at release — losing picks are always deducted.

      Can the published record be changed?

      No. A pick is locked once settled. If a score is corrected, it is re-settled and publicly marked “Corrected”; voids always state a reason, and every change is logged.

      What do members get?

      Full selections, lines, odds, confidence and stakes for every upcoming pick, model probabilities and expected value, full AI match analysis, and custom-model backtests.

      How do I pay, and how fast is activation?

      Tap “Subscribe via LINE” and we create your order and open our official LINE account with the plan, order number and amount already filled in — just send it. Your plan activates as soon as payment is confirmed, and renewals stack on your current end date, so no days are lost.

      Will following the picks always win?

      No. Every match carries uncertainty; the model offers probability and discipline, not outcomes. Only stake what you can afford to lose. Strictly 18+.

      AURUM

      Calculate first. Then commit.

      Join to see today's full slate, the model probabilities, and the reasoning behind every pick.

      Play within your limits. We provide analysis only and do not accept bets.